Monday, July 19, 2010

Important Points from Teach a Man to Fish...

1) After an intermediate uptrend, the correction should be only 33-66% of that cycle. (One intermediate cycle = one intermediate uptrend and one intermediate downtrend).
-- Greater the retracement, the increased likelihood that the primary trend has reversed to the down.

2) Substantial increase in volume during the price decline supports the down move.

3) The market moves in trends. We have an uptrend, downtrend and sideways trend.

4) That there are different categories to Trends. We call it Major (when we are talking long term and of the monthly charts), Intermediate (off the weekly), and near term or short term (off the daily).

5) We know that a series of higher highs and lows is termed a rally. That a series of lower lows and highs is termed a decline, that a series of higher pivot lows and highs is called an Uptrend, and a series of lower pivot highs is called a downtrend.

6) Basically, in a nutshell, for starters, keep away from trades where the daily is setting up, and the weekly is still in a downtrend. The desire to predict and get in at lower prices will cost you dear. Get into another stock where we have a weekly in an uptrend, and then buy declines.



Source :- www.traderji.com

Interpreting Stocks : 19th July 2010

NIFTY EOD Analysis as on 19th July 2010

 Red Candle in a rangebound market, with average volumes showing normal selling pressure.

EMA3 is above EMA13 (+).
Slope of EMA 13 is up.(+)  EMA 13 is at 5343 level
EMA13>EMA39.(+)

Answers for Yesterday
Todays Bearish Signals:
1) MACD and Price -ve divergence.

NIFTY is moving in a rangebound market since the past few days. The 5400 level resistance is acting as a barrier to move up.

Questions
What is going to happen next? Let's wait and watch.

Price Pivots

Price pivots are best conceptualized with three bars. A three-bar pivot low represents support and is formed when buying pressure turns price from down to up. It is designated by a price bar with a higher low that closes above the previous bar's high, where the previous bar's low is lower than the bar that preceded it. This is true in every time frame.
Source :- http://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/07/pivots.asp


In the above image, the low on 13-07-2010 is Pivot Low.


Same concept applies to Pivot High.